ACCUPOLLS
The Most Accurate Election Polls

United States Presidential Elections 2020

(Last Updated: 11/03/2020)

We only publish polls that were within 3 points of accuracy in at least 2 of the last 3 presidential elections.

RACE TO 270: TRUMP 258, BIDEN 226, toss up 54.

 

 This is how President Trump can declare victory tonight without Pennsylvania:

Win FL, NC, GA, & OH–giving him 258 electoral votes.  If Trump picks up MI (16) or WI (10) and NV (6), HE IS REELECTED!

 

Accupolls moves Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina from Toss Up to Trump.

Latest Polls Date Sample Biden Trump Results
AccuPolls Average

7 day rolling

N/A
49.6↑
45.5↑
+4.1 Biden↓
Rasmussen
10/26 – 10/28
1500 LV
48
47
+1 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/24 – 10/28
945 LV
50
45
+5 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/23 -10/27
991 LV
50
45
+5 Biden
Rasmussen
10/25 – 10/27
1500 LV
47
48

+1 Trump

Economist/YouGov
10/25 – 10/27
1365 LV
54
43
+11 Biden
Rasmussen
10/22 – 10/26
1500 LV
49
47
+2 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/22 – 10/26
970 LV
50
46
+4 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/21 – 10/25
982 LV
51
44
+7 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/20 -10/24
1006 LV
51
44
+7 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/19 – 10/23
1029 LV
50
44
+6 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/18 – 10/22
972 LV
49
45
+4 Biden
Rasmussen
10/21 – 10/25
1500 LV
47
48

+1 Trump

IBD/TIPP
10/17 – 10/21
965 LV
49
44
+5 Biden
Rasmussen
10/14 – 10/20
2500 LV
49
46
+3 Biden
Economist/YouGov
10/18 – 10/20
1344 LV
52
43
+9 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/16 – 10/20
1016 LV
48
46
+2 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/15 – 10/19
1046 LV
48
45
+3 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/14 – 10/18
949 LV
49
44
+5 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/13 – 10/17
1021 LV
49
44
+5 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/12 -10/16
1009 LV
50
43
+7 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/11 – 10/15
951 LV
48
43
+5 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/10 – 10/14
864 LV
50
42
+8 Biden
Economist/YouGov
10/11 -10/13
1333 LV
52
42
+10 Biden
Rasmussen
10/7 – 10/13
2500 LV
50
45
+5 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/9 – 10/13
866 LV
50
42
+8 Biden
IBD/TIPP
10/7 – 10/11
851 LV
52
43
+9 Biden
Rasmussen
10/1 – 10/6
2500 LV
52
40
+12 Biden
CNN
10/1 – 10/4
1001 LV
57
41
+16 Biden
IBD/TIPP
9/30 – 10/1
1021 LV
49
46
+3 Biden
Economist/YouGov
9/27 – 9/30
1350 LV
50
42
+8 Biden
Rasmussen Reports
9/23 – 9/29
3000 LV
51
43
+8 Biden
Economist/YouGov
9/20 – 9/22
1,124 LV
49
42
+7 Biden
ABC News/Wash Post
9/21 – 9/24
739 LV
54
44
+10 Biden
Rasmussen Reports
09/16 – 09/22
3,000 LV
48
47
+1 Biden
IBD/TIPP
09/16 – 09/19
962 LV
50
44
+6 Biden
Rasmussen Reports
09/09 – 09/15
2,500 LV
46
47
+1 Trump
Economist/YouGov
09/06 – 09/08
1057 LV
52
43
+9 Biden
ABC News/Wash Post
09/02 – 09/05
877 RV
55
40
+15 Biden




Electoral College 2020 (270 to Win)

Headlines

 

        Donald J. Trump (258)

  • Alabama (9)
  • Alaska (3)
  • Arkansas (6)
  • Arizona (11)
  • Florida (29)
  • Idaho (4)
  • Georgia (16)
  • Indiana (11)
  • Iowa (6)
  • Kansas (6)
  • Kentucky (8)
  • Louisiana (8)
  • Mississippi (6)
  • Missouri (10)
  • Montana (3)
  • Nebraska (4)
  • North Carolina (15)
  • North Dakota (3)
  • South Carolina (9)
  • South Dakota (3)
  • Ohio (18)
  • Oklahoma (7)
  • Tennessee (11)
  • Texas (38)
  • Utah (6)
  • West Virginia (5)
  • Wyoming (3)

       Joe Biden (226)

  • California (55)
  • Colorado (9)
  • Connecticut (7)
  • Delaware (3)
  • District of Columbia (3)
  • Hawaii (4)
  • Illinois (20)
  • Maine (2)
  • Maine CD1 (1)
  • Maryland (10)
  • Minnesota (10)
  • Massachusetts (11)
  • New Hampshire (4)
  • New Jersey (14)
  • New Mexico (5)
  • New York (29)
  • Oregon (7)
  • Rhode Island (4)
  • Vermont (3)
  • Virginia (13)
  • Washington (12)

      Toss Up (54)

  • Maine CD2 (1)
  • Michigan (16)
  • Nebraska CD2 (1)
  • Nevada (6)
  • Pennsylvania (20)
  • Wisconsin (10)